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2026 Fall Survey

In September 2026, Galvanize Action asked ideologically moderate women questions about voting priorities, election-related concerns, views on the Trump administration’s handling of specific issues, immigration enforcement, transgender policy, government surveillance, attitudes toward socialism, and AI regulation.


Key Findings

  • The economy remains the top voting issue overall (41%) by more than double any other issue.
  • President Trump’s overall approval sits at 37% (11% strongly approve, 26% somewhat approve) against 63% disapproval. On nearly every issue presented, approval fell from January to May and then recovered only partially by September. Immigration is the only issue where September approval (43%) now exceeds January’s (40%).
  • Moderate white women draw a real distinction between the broad goal of immigration enforcement and specific tactics used to carry it out: 43% approve of Trump’s handling of immigration overall (his best-performing issue), but majorities say he’s gone “too far” by sending federal agents into cities and using traffic stops to find and arrest immigrants.
  • On transgender policy, moderate white women favor several restrictions while also favoring protecting trans people from discrimination in jobs and housing.
  • Desire for AI regulation is one of the few things that holds across every audience segment: a majority wants either the government or companies acting together to create a set of rules and regulations.

Top Issue

Galvanize Action asked respondents which issue they consider most important when deciding how to vote for an elected official. As is the case every time we ask this question, the economy is the clear top issue overall (41%), followed by preserving democracy (16%) and healthcare (15%). No other issue reaches double digits.

Bar chart showing the vote choice issues most important to moderate white women. From most important to least: economy (41%), preserving democracy, healthcare, immigration, crime, something else, climate change, gun violence, AI, abortion, transgender issues, foreign affairs. Details in table in questionnaire section below.

Economy leads for every audience segment, but by a smaller margin among Egalitarians, who are also the only segment to rank preserving democracy as a near-equal priority. Immigration is a notably higher priority for Traditionalists (13%) than for any other segment (2-6%).

Bar chart showing that economy is by far the top vote choice issue, followed by healthcare, preserving democracy, immigration. See table in questionnaire section for details.

Election Concerns

When asked how concerned they are about six potential problems with this year’s elections, respondents were most worried about systemic issues and least worried about personal confrontation. Overall, ideologically moderate white women appear to be more worried about the integrity of the process than about their own personal safety at the polls.

Bar chart showing levels of concern about upcoming elections. Respondents displayed the most concern about political leaders pressuring election officials to change election outcomes, then ballots not being properly handled/counted. See table in questionnaire section for details.

Trump Approval

The majority of moderate white women surveyed say they disapprove of Trump’s overall job performance since his second term began (63% disapprove: 16% somewhat, 47% strongly). However, this approval varies by segment, with the majority of Traditionalists and Pragmatists saying they approve, and the majority of Centrists and Egalitarians saying they disapprove.

Overall:

Bar chart showing most women strongly disapprove of Trump's overall performance. See table in questionnaire section for details.

By Segment:

OverallTraditionalistsPragmatistsCentristsEgalitarians
Strongly approve11%26%11%6%2%
Somewhat approve26%36%44%25%7%
Somewhat disapprove16%18%19%22%6%
Strongly disapprove47%21%26%47%85%
Learn more about these segments.

Looking at approval for handling specific issues, the majority of women surveyed express disapproval across all issues. This is especially notable for the economy, which women in this audience say matters most to their vote. Along with foreign affairs, the economy is one of Trump’s weakest issues, with only 33% of the overall sample indicating approval for how he’s handling it.

When comparing responses from different samples of moderate white women collected in January, May, and September, we see that approval dropped between January and May on every issue, then most issues only partially recovered by September. Immigration is the only issue where September approval exceeds January’s, and gun violence is the only other issue to fully recover to its January level. Foreign affairs, the economy, crime, and climate change show the weakest recoveries.

Bar chart showing Trump approval by issue over time. His approval ratings are highest on abortion, and lowest on preserving democracy. See table in questionnaire section for details.
This chart shows approval.

Immigration Enforcement

When asked about specific enforcement actions rather than immigration policy in general, moderate white women are more critical. The majority of respondents say President Trump has gone too far on three out of four actions presented. 

Deportation in general draws the least “gone too far” sentiment and the most “not far enough” sentiment of the four actions presented, while more visible and/or localized tactics draw the most pushback.

Bar chart showing whether Trump has gone "too far" or "not far enough" on immigration tactics. A plurality say "too far" for all listed tactics. See table in questionnaire section for details.

Government Surveillance

Women in Galvanize Action’s audience distinguish between private/commercial surveillance (broadly acceptable) and government tracking of personal movement (majority opposed). The privacy-for-safety trade-off question splits close to evenly, which suggests that fear may be a stronger influence than the opposition to government surveillance expressed.

Bar chart showing respondents think being recorded by a store or neighbor's camera should be allowed, but police cameras recording car locations should not be. See table in questionnaire section for details.
Bar charts (3) showing opinions about license plate cameras. A plurality have heard "a little" about them. A plurality would feel neither safedr or nor less safe with them.  Responses were split on giving up personal privacy in exchange for less crime. See table in questionnaire section for details.

Transgender Policy

The majority of women surveyed expressed support for restrictive policies, such as requiring trans athletes to compete on teams that match the sex they were assigned at birth and making it illegal for healthcare professionals to provide gender affirming healthcare to minors. However, at the same time, support for discrimination protection is comparably high. This suggests that moderate white women do not see “protect from discrimination” and “restrict specific accommodations” as contradictory positions.

Bar chart showing support/opposition for various policies related to transgender people. See table in questionnaire section for details.

By audience segment, opinions are consistent in direction across every item, with more ideologically conservative segments showing higher support for restrictive policies, and the most ideologically liberal segment showing the highest support for protective policies.

Chart showing support for the same policies about transgender people, this time segmented by audience segment. See table in questionnaire section for details.

AI Regulations

Government regulation and collaborative artificial intelligence industry self-regulation draw essentially identical support, and since this was a select-all-that-apply question, many respondents likely selected both. This suggests the audience isn’t choosing between government and industry oversight, but rather wanting oversight in general.

Bar chart showing more than half of respondents favor AI regulations set by the US government and more than half also favor industry-led regulations. See table in questionnaire section for details.

Support for some form of AI regulation holds across every audience segment; no segment’s support for “no rules” rises above 5%. Egalitarians are most likely to want government regulation specifically and least likely to trust individual companies to self-regulate. Among the two middle segments, Centrists and Pragmatists agree at similar rates that the government should create regulations or that companies should collaboratively create regulations. However, Pragmatists are more likely than Centrists (and any other segment) to support companies self-regulating independently.

Bar chart showing who should create AI regulations, this time by ideological segment. See table in questionnaire section for details.

Socialism

When asked their opinions on socialism in general, nearly half (44%) of respondents indicated they have an unfavorable view of socialism, while only 30% said their opinion is favorable. Notably, a full quarter (25%) said they don’t know, indicating that a portion of this audience may not feel informed enough about socialism to have an explicit opinion.

Very favorable5%
Somewhat favorable25%
Somewhat unfavorable23%
Very unfavorable21%
Don’t know25%

Next, Galvanize Action presented respondents with a list of government programs and asked them to identify each as either “socialism” or “not socialism” (or indicate that they did not know). Most familiar, long-standing government services are seen by a plurality or majority as not socialism: these include national parks, police and fire departments, public libraries, highways, the military, the postal service, minimum wage, unemployment benefits, public schools, Medicare, and social security. 

By contrast, free healthcare for all, free college tuition, and government-run utilities are the three items a plurality labels socialism outright, and rent control (36% socialism vs. 38% not) and government-subsidized housing (39% vs. 35%) are close to a toss-up. Antitrust regulation produced the most uncertainty, with 46% saying “don’t know.”

The label “socialism” seems to track more with how new or sweeping a policy sounds than with government involvement itself. Moderate white women don’t think of Medicare or Medicaid as explicitly “socialism,” but they do think of “free healthcare for all” that way, even though the two are related.

Bar chart showing what moderate women do and do not consider socialism. From most socialist to least: free healthcare for all (54%), free college tuition, government-run utilities, subsidized housing, rent control, medicaid, government-funded sports stadiums, public schools, farm subsidies, social security, medicare, public transportation, labor unions, unemployment benefits, minimum wage, public libraries, USPS, police departments, fire departments, national parks, the military, federal highways, antitrust regulations, zoning (17%). See table in questionnaire section for details.

Working Class Identity

Chart showing labels that respondents identify with, segmented by ideology. From most to least, they report being open-minded, respectful of authority, working class, interested in visiting other countries, traditional (extreme variance by segment), and lastly skeptical of what experts say. See table in questionnaire section for details.

Traditionalists describe themselves as the most traditional and the most respectful of authority, and Egalitarians the least traditional by a wide margin. Skepticism of experts is lowest among Centrists, notably lower than both Traditionalists and Pragmatists. We also see that the more ideologically conservative segments agree more strongly with the description “working class.”

GLP-1 Medications

Galvanize Action also asked women in this audience whether they currently take weight loss medications such as semaglutide (brand names Ozempic and Wegovy), liraglutide (brand name Saxenda) or tirzepatide (brand names Mounjaro and Zepbound). We found that the majority of respondents indicated that they are not currently on a GLP-1 medication.

Yes15%
No85%

Questionnaire

QUESTION #1 | TOP ISSUE
When you decide how to vote for an elected official, such as for Congress or President, which of the following issues do you consider most important?

OverallTraditionalistPragmatistCentristEgalitarian
Abortion2%3%2%0%4%
Artificial intelligence/Data centers3%3%4%1%3%
Climate change4%2%3%3%6%
Crime5%7%8%4%2%
Economy41%42%45%45%34%
Foreign affairs/Focus overseas1%1%1%2%1%
Gun violence3%3%2%3%3%
Healthcare15%14%16%20%10%
Immigration7%13%6%6%2%
Preserving democracy16%8%9%14%27%
Something else (please specify)4%3%4%2%8%
Transgender issues1%2%1%1%1%

QUESTION #2 | ELECTION CONCERNS
Looking ahead to this year’s elections for Congress and state offices, how much, if at all, do each of the following concern you?

Not at allOnly a littleA fair amountA great deal
Political leaders pressuring election officials to change election outcomes13%20%29%38%
Ballots not being properly handled, counted or secured19%22%28%31%
Not having the information you need to make a well-informed decision about candidates or issues21%24%35%20%
People gathering near polling places in an attempt to intimidate voters or discourage them from voting21%24%27%28%
Your ballot not being counted25%23%23%29%
Being personally confronted, followed or recorded while you are voting36%23%18%22%

QUESTION #3 | TRUMP APPROVAL
Thinking about the time since President Trump began his second term, as a whole, would you say you approve or disapprove of President Trump?

OverallTraditionalistPragmatistCentristEgalitarian
Strongly approve11%26%11%6%2%
Somewhat approve26%36%44%25%7%
Somewhat disapprove16%18%19%22%6%
Strongly disapprove47%21%26%47%85%

QUESTION #4 | TRUMP APPROVAL BY ISSUE
Now, thinking about specific issues since President Trump took office, do you approve or disapprove of the way President Trump is currently handling…

Strongly disapproveSomewhat disapproveSomewhat approveStrongly approve
Abortion42%21%22%15%
Artificial intelligence/Data centers42%24%25%9%
Climate change40%24%25%11%
Crime36%24%25%15%
Economy46%20%23%11%
Foreign affairs/Focus overseas45%22%22%11%
Gun violence36%23%27%13%
Healthcare41%24%23%12%
Immigration39%19%23%20%
Preserving democracy44%18%24%14%
Transgender issues37%20%26%16%

Comparing to previous surveys (different samples):

“strongly approve” or
“somewhat approve”
JanuaryMaySeptember
Abortion38%33%37%
Climate Change42%34%36%
Crime46%36%41%
Economy38%27%33%
Foreign affairs/Focus overseas40%29%33%
Gun violence41%34%41%
Healthcare35%32%34%
Immigration40%37%43%
Preserving democracy40%33%38%

QUESTION #5 | IMMIGRATION ENFORCEMENT
When it comes to each of the following, would you say Donald Trump has gone too far, not gone far enough, or been about right?

Not far enoughAbout rightGone too far
Using traffic stops to find and arrest immigrants living in the U.S. illegally8%36%56%
Sending federal immigration agents into U.S. cities9%35%56%
Restricting legal immigration7%40%52%
Deporting immigrants living in the U.S. illegally12%40%48%

QUESTIONS #6-9 | SURVEILLANCE
In a public place, do you think each of the following should or should not be allowed without your permission?

Should not be allowedShould be allowedNot sure
Being recorded by a store’s camera15%75%10%
Being recorded by a neighbor’s doorbell camera23%60%17%
Having your car’s location recorded by a police camera56%29%15%

License plate cameras photograph each passing vehicle along a road and store its license plate, its location, and the time in a database that law enforcement can search. How much, if anything, had you heard about license plate cameras before this survey?

Nothing at all17%
A little55%
A lot28%

Would license plate cameras in your community make you feel…?

Safer32%
Neither safer nor less safe45%
Less safe16%
Not sure8%

Would you give up more personal privacy if it resulted in less crime?

Yes38%
Not sure29%
No33%

QUESTION #10 | TRANSGENDER POLICY
Here are some current laws and policies that are either in place or being considered in the U.S. related to transgender issues. Would you favor or oppose laws or policies that do each of the following?

Oppose / Strongly opposeFavor / Strongly favorNeither favor nor oppose
Require that transgender athletes compete on teams that match the sex they were assigned at birth, not the gender they identify with9%66%25%
Make it illegal for health care professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care for a gender transition18%64%19%
Protect transgender individuals from discrimination in jobs, housing, and public spaces such as restaurants and stores13%62%25%
Make it illegal for public school districts to teach about gender identity in elementary schools24%53%23%
Require transgender individuals to use public bathrooms that match the sex they were assigned at birth, not the gender they identify with21%51%28%
Require health insurance companies to cover medical care for gender transitions42%30%28%
“favor” or “strongly favor”
TraditionalistPragmatistCentristEgalitarian
Require that transgender athletes compete on teams that match the sex they were assigned at birth, not the gender they identify with89%80%66%38%
Make it illegal for health care professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care for a gender transition81%76%61%42%
Protect transgender individuals from discrimination in jobs, housing, and public spaces such as restaurants and stores34%61%60%87%
Make it illegal for public school districts to teach about gender identity in elementary schools81%70%42%26%
Require transgender individuals to use public bathrooms that match the sex they were assigned at birth, not the gender they identify with80%73%45%16%
Require health insurance companies to cover medical care for gender transitions18%27%21%49%

QUESTION #11 | AI REGULATIONS
Who should create rules or regulations about AI safety and security for private companies developing new AI technology? You may select more than one option.

OverallTraditionalistPragmatistCentristEgalitarian
The U.S. government should create the rules and regulations53%54%48%49%61%
Companies should work together to create a shared set of rules and regulations53%61%49%49%53%
Each company should be allowed to create its own rules and regulations19%23%26%18%12%
Something else5%3%3%5%7%
There should not be any rules or regulations3%3%2%5%3%

QUESTIONS #12-13 | SOCIALISM
Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable view of socialism?

OverallTraditionalistPragmatistCentristEgalitarian
Very favorable5%5%5%3%8%
Somewhat favorable25%21%17%20%39%
Somewhat unfavorable23%17%30%24%22%
Very unfavorable21%33%25%18%10%
Don’t know25%24%22%35%20%

Do you consider the following things to be examples of socialism?

SocialismNot SocialismDon’t know
Free healthcare for all54%25%21%
Free college tuition48%27%25%
Government-run utilities43%30%27%
Government-subsidized housing39%35%26%
Rent control36%38%26%
Medicaid32%43%25%
Government-funded sports stadiums31%38%31%
Government farm subsidies28%40%32%
Public schools28%51%21%
Social Security27%50%23%
Medicare26%51%23%
Labor unions25%48%26%
Public transportation25%53%22%
A minimum wage24%52%24%
Unemployment benefits24%52%24%
Public libraries23%56%21%
The U.S. Postal Service22%54%24%
Fire departments21%57%22%
Police departments21%57%23%
The military20%55%25%
National parks20%58%22%
Federal interstate highways19%54%27%
Antitrust regulation18%36%46%
Zoning17%46%37%

QUESTION #14 | WORKING CLASS IDENTITY
How well would you say each of the following phrases describes you?

“extremely well” or “very well”
OverallTraditionalistPragmatistCentristEgalitarian
Open-minded76%77%66%79%78%
Respectful of authority72%86%78%68%60%
Working class59%73%62%56%46%
Interested in visiting other countries53%47%51%47%63%
Traditional46%73%59%43%19%
Skeptical of what experts say34%48%46%21%25%
Extremely wellVery wellSomewhat wellNot too wellNot at all well
Open-minded33%43%22%2%1%
Respectful of authority34%38%25%3%0%
Working class26%32%27%8%6%
Interested in visiting other countries32%21%23%15%9%
Traditional17%30%35%17%2%
Skeptical of what experts say11%22%41%20%5%

QUESTION #15 | GLP-1 MEDICATIONS
Are you currently taking weight loss medications such as semaglutide (brand names Ozempic and Wegovy), liraglutide (brand name Saxenda) or tirzepatide (brand names Mounjaro and Zepbound)?

OverallTraditionalistPragmatistCentristEgalitarian
Yes15%18%22%10%12%
No85%82%78%90%88%

Methodology

  • Audience: Ideologically Moderate US White Women
  • Sample size: 575
  • Date in field: September 22, 2026
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